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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
700 AM EST Wed Nov 11 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
Tropical Weather DiscussionNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL1215 UTC Wed Nov 11 2026Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central AmericaGulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of SouthAmerica, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from theEquator to 31N. The following information is based on satelliteimagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0900 UTC
.SPECIAL FEATURES Meteo-France Eastern Atlantic Gale Warning: SW winds to gale-forcewill persist through this morning from the waters north of the Canary Islands to off Agadir, Morocco, with 12 to 18 ft seas. These gales and rough to very rough seas are ahead of a complex pair of low pressure systems west and northwest of the Canary Islands moving rapidly to the northeast. Winds and seas will startto diminish after 12 UTC. Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by Meteo-France at website: https://wwmiws.wmo.int for more details .MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ The monsoon trough extends from 11N15W to 08N21W. The ITCZ extends from 08N21W to 07N53W. Scattered moderate convection is from 06N to 09N between 21W and 42W .GULF OF AMERICA Weak low pressure that has formed just offshore Texas is inducingscattered moderate convection offshore the Middle and Upper-Texascoast. Elsewhere, mainly high pressure dominates, with gentle NEwinds prevail, along with seas of less than 3 ft. For the forecast, a cold front will exit Texas tonight, then sweep across the basin through Thu night and depart by Fri, leading fresh to locally strong N winds and building seas in its wake. High pressure will build southward into the region this weekend, with increasing easterly winds as the high shifts eastward Sun. Strong E winds are likely across portions of the northern Gulf starting Sun as the pressure gradient increases ahead of a low pressure and attendant cold front that will approach the NW Gulf for the start of next week. CARIBBEAN SEA The pressure gradient between high pressure centered north ofthe region and lower pressure over South America is leading tofresh to strong trades over the south central basin, with moderateto fresh trades elsewhere, except weaker near the coast of CentralAmerica and in the NW Caribbean. Seas are 6 to 8 ft in the south-central Caribbean and 4 to 6 ft elsewhere, except 2-4 ft over thenorthwest Caribbean. Scattered moderate convection is noted in theNW basin due to upper-level divergence. For the forecast, fresh to strong trades and locally rough seas will prevail over the south-central Caribbean into Thu night, withmainly moderate winds and seas elsewhere. The pressure gradient will weaken starting Fri as a cold front approaches the Yucatan Channel, weakening the trades. Moderate north winds and slightly building seas are likely behind this front over the northwestern Caribbean this weekend. ATLANTIC OCEAN Please see the Special Features section for information on a GaleWarning for portions of the Meteo-France High Seas Forecast area.A cold front extends from 29N55W to 27N62W. Scattered moderateconvection is associated with a pre-frontal trough N of 29N around 45W, otherwise little sensible weather is associated with this front. To the east, a cold front extends from 31N22W to 26W40W. Ahead of this front, fresh to strong SW winds prevail, with rough seas. Very rough seas in NW swell, and fresh winds are N of the boundary. Upper-level divergence is leading to scattered moderate convection N of the Greater Antilles to 22N, between 65W and 75W. Elsewhere, weak high pressure is leading to moderate or weaker winds and mainly moderate seas. For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front in the NE waters will exit to the east later today. Another cold front is expected to move off the southeastern U.S. coast Thu, accompanied by fresh to strong winds and building seas on both sides of it. These conditions are expected to persist through Sat night. By Sat night, the front will stall from near 28N55W to the vicinity of the Turks and Caicos. |
